Why Upcoming Fed Policy Changes Reinforce Positive CRE Outlook

Earlier this week, CNBC interviewed Marcus & Millichap’s President and CEO Hessam Nadji to discuss why upcoming Fed Policy changes and strong fundamentals reinforce a positive commercial real estate (CRE) outlook. Some major takeaways from the interview include:

  • Lower rates energize the market, Fed rates shifted from a headwind to tailwind.
    • Nadji explains how a Fed reversal turned what was considered a negative policy change at the end of last year into a positive one this year by stating, “The fed is now so accommodative in messaging that they’re going to be facilitating the life of this expansion, and not becoming a headwind to it. And of course, lower rates lubricate the market. “
  • Lack of overbuilding has resulted in a longer positive outlook for CRE.
    • Nadji attributes a lack of overbuilding in commercial real estate to the boom of E-commerce.

“Office space, for example, has been adding about 1/3 to 1/2 of new product compared to the prior peak of the cycle. Look at retail space in reaction to whats happened to E-commerce. The volume of any kind of retail being built is less than a 1/3 of what it was year-over-year prior to the last recession. That lack of overbuilding plus an economy that’s adding over 2 million jobs a year consistently in a low-interest-rate environment all spells a pretty good outlook for CRE.”

  • Tech expansion boosts demand for industrial real estates like warehouses, distribution centers, or storage facilities. E-commerce has been tough on traditional retail.
    • Tech-oriented metros experiencing increased rental demand for new hires.

Click here to watch the full four-minute CNBC interview with Marcus & Millichap’s President and CEO Hessam Nadji

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Top Markets for Occupancy Growth Through April – Yardi Matrix

Earlier this week, Multi-Housing News posted an article highlighting takeaways from a recent Yardi Matrix report pertaining to occupancy growth through the first quarter of 2019. According to the numbers, the nation’s average occupancy rate decreased by 20 points year-over-year through April to 95 percent.

Despite the step back on a national level, the five markets highlighted by Multi-Housing News are defying the odds and have emerged as frontrunners for occupancy growth through April 2019.

The occupancy growth in these markets can be accredited to beneficial market characteristics such as strong demographic trends, favorable business climates, modest development in surrounding areas, and steady employment gains.

Click here for the full Multi-Housing News article and additional Yardi Metrix statistics regarding the highlighted markets and occupancy growth.

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